DISCLAIMER - NIKZAFRI.BLOGSPOT.COM


Today, Knowledge Management today are not limited merely to : (A) 'knowing' or 'reading lots of books/scholarly articles' or (B) data mining, analysis, decision making, preventive actions, or (C) some Human Resources Management issue or (D) some ICT issue. Knowledge Management is about putting your knowledge, skills and competency into practice and most important IT WORKS! For you and your company or your business (Nik Zafri) Can I still offer consultancy or training? Who claims otherwise? Absolutely, I can.

The information comprised in this section is not, nor is it held out to be, a solicitation of any person to take any form of investment decision. The content of the nikzafri.blogspot.com does not constitute advice or a recommendation by nikzafri.blogspot.com and should not be relied upon in making (or refraining from making) any decision relating to investments or any other matter. You should consult your own independent financial adviser and obtain professional advice before exercising any investment decisions or choices based on information featured in this nikzafri.blogspot.com can not be held liable or responsible in any way for any opinions, suggestions, recommendations or comments made by any of the contributors to the various columns on nikzafri.blogspot.com nor do opinions of contributors necessarily reflect those of http://www. nikzafri.blogspot.com

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BIODATA - NIK ZAFRI


 



NIK ZAFRI BIN ABDUL MAJID,
CONSULTANT/TRAINER
Email: nikzafri@yahoo.com, nikzafri@gmail.com
https://nikzafri.wixsite.com/nikzafri

Kelantanese, Alumni of Sultan Ismail College Kelantan (SICA), IT Competency Cert, Certified Written English Professional US. Has participated in many seminars/conferences (local/ international) in the capacity of trainer/lecturer and participant.

Affiliations :- Network Member of Gerson Lehrman Group, Institute of Quality Malaysia, Auditor ISO 9000 IRCAUK, Auditor OHSMS (SIRIM and STS) /EMS ISO 14000 and Construction Quality Assessment System CONQUAS, CIDB (Now BCA) Singapore),

* Possesses almost 30 years of experience/hands-on in the multi-modern management & technical disciplines (systems & methodologies) such as Knowledge Management (Hi-Impact Management/ICT Solutions), Quality (TQM/ISO), Safety Health Environment, Civil & Building (Construction), Manufacturing, Motivation & Team Building, HR, Marketing/Branding, Business Process Reengineering, Economy/Stock Market, Contracts/Project Management, Finance & Banking, etc. He was employed to international bluechips involving in national/international megaprojects such as Balfour Beatty Construction/Knight Piesold & Partners UK, MMI Insurance Group Australia, Hazama Corporation (Hazamagumi) Japan (with Mitsubishi Corporation, JA Jones US, MMCE and Ho-Hup) and Sunway Construction Berhad (The Sunway Group of Companies). Among major projects undertaken : Pergau Hydro Electric Project, KLCC Petronas Twin Towers, LRT Tunnelling, KLIA, Petronas Refineries Melaka, Putrajaya Government Complex, Sistem Lingkaran Lebuhraya Kajang (SILK), Mex Highway, KLIA1, KLIA2 etc. Once serviced SMPD Management Consultants as Associate Consultant cum Lecturer for Diploma in Management, Institute of Supervisory Management UK/SMPD JV. Currently – Associate/Visiting Consultants/Facilitators, Advisors for leading consulting firms (local and international) including project management. To name a few – Noma SWO Consult, Amiosh Resources, Timur West Consultant Sdn. Bhd., TIJ Consultants Group (Malaysia and Singapore) and many others.

* Ex-Resident Weekly Columnist of Utusan Malaysia (1995-1998) and have produced more than 100 articles related to ISO-9000– Management System and Documentation Models, TQM Strategic Management, Occupational Safety and Health (now OHSAS 18000) and Environmental Management Systems ISO 14000. His write-ups/experience has assisted many students/researchers alike in module developments based on competency or academics and completion of many theses. Once commended by the then Chief Secretary to the Government of Malaysia for his diligence in promoting and training the civil services (government sector) based on “Total Quality Management and Quality Management System ISO-9000 in Malaysian Civil Service – Paradigm Shift Scalar for Assessment System”

Among Nik Zafri’s clients : Adabi Consumer Industries Sdn. Bhd, (MRP II, Accounts/Credit Control) The HQ of Royal Customs and Excise Malaysia (ISO 9000), Veterinary Services Dept. Negeri Sembilan (ISO 9000), The Institution of Engineers Malaysia (Aspects of Project Management – KLCC construction), Corporate HQ of RHB (Peter Drucker's MBO/KRA), NEC Semiconductor - Klang Selangor (Productivity Management), Prime Minister’s Department Malaysia (ISO 9000), State Secretarial Office Negeri Sembilan (ISO 9000), Hidrological Department KL (ISO 9000), Asahi Kluang Johor(System Audit, Management/Supervisory Development), Tunku Mahmood (2) Primary School Kluang Johor (ISO 9000), Consortium PANZANA (HSSE 3rd Party Audit), Lecturer for Information Technology Training Centre (ITTC) – Authorised Training Center (ATC) – University of Technology Malaysia (UTM) Kluang Branch Johor, Kluang General Hospital Johor (Management/Supervision Development, Office Technology/Administration, ISO 9000 & Construction Management), Kahang Timur Secondary School Johor (ISO 9000), Sultan Abdul Jalil Secondary School Kluang Johor (Islamic Motivation and Team Building), Guocera Tiles Industries Kluang Johor (EMS ISO 14000), MNE Construction (M) Sdn. Bhd. Kota Tinggi Johor (ISO 9000 – Construction), UITM Shah Alam Selangor (Knowledge Management/Knowledge Based Economy /TQM), Telesystem Electronics/Digico Cable(ODM/OEM for Astro – ISO 9000), Sungai Long Industries Sdn. Bhd. (Bina Puri Group) - ISO 9000 Construction), Secura Security Printing Sdn. Bhd,(ISO 9000 – Security Printing) ROTOL AMS Bumi Sdn. Bhd & ROTOL Architectural Services Sdn. Bhd. (ROTOL Group) – ISO 9000 –Architecture, Bond M & E (KL) Sdn. Bhd. (ISO 9000 – Construction/M & E), Skyline Telco (M) Sdn. Bhd. (Knowledge Management),Technochase Sdn. Bhd JB (ISO 9000 – Construction), Institut Kefahaman Islam Malaysia (IKIM – ISO 9000 & Internal Audit Refresher), Shinryo/Steamline Consortium (Petronas/OGP Power Co-Generation Plant Melaka – Construction Management and Safety, Health, Environment), Hospital Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (Negotiation Skills), Association for Retired Intelligence Operatives of Malaysia (Cyber Security – Arpa/NSFUsenet, Cobit, Till, ISO/IEC ISMS 27000 for Law/Enforcement/Military), T.Yamaichi Corp. (M) Sdn. Bhd. (EMS ISO 14000) LSB Manufacturing Solutions Sdn. Bhd., (Lean Scoreboard (including a full development of System-Software-Application - MSC Malaysia & Six Sigma) PJZ Marine Services Sdn. Bhd., (Safety Management Systems and Internal Audit based on International Marine Organization Standards) UNITAR/UNTEC (Degree in Accountacy – Career Path/Roadmap) Cobrain Holdings Sdn. Bhd.(Managing Construction Safety & Health), Speaker for International Finance & Management Strategy (Closed Conference), Pembinaan Jaya Zira Sdn. Bhd. (ISO 9001:2008-Internal Audit for Construction Industry & Overview of version 2015), Straits Consulting Engineers Sdn. Bhd. (Full Integrated Management System – ISO 9000, OHSAS 18000 (ISO 45000) and EMS ISO 14000 for Civil/Structural/Geotechnical Consulting), Malaysia Management & Science University (MSU – (Managing Business in an Organization), Innoseven Sdn. Bhd. (KVMRT Line 1 MSPR8 – Awareness and Internal Audit (Construction), ISO 9001:2008 and 2015 overview for the Construction Industry), Kemakmuran Sdn. Bhd. (KVMRT Line 1 - Signages/Wayfinding - Project Quality Plan and Construction Method Statement ), Lembaga Tabung Haji - Flood ERP, WNA Consultants - DID/JPS -Flood Risk Assessment and Management Plan - Prelim, Conceptual Design, Interim and Final Report etc., Tunnel Fire Safety - Fire Risk Assessment Report - Design Fire Scenario), Safety, Health and Environmental Management Plans leading construction/property companies/corporations in Malaysia, Timur West Consultant : Business Methodology and System, Information Security Management Systems (ISMS) ISO/IEC 27001:2013 for Majlis Bandaraya Petaling Jaya ISMS/Audit/Risk/ITP Technical Team, MPDT Capital Berhad - ISO 9001: 2015 - Consultancy, Construction, Project Rehabilitation, Desalination (first one in Malaysia to receive certification on trades such as Reverse Osmosis Seawater Desalination and Project Recovery/Rehabilitation)

* Has appeared for 10 consecutive series in “Good Morning Malaysia RTM TV1’ Corporate Talk Segment discussing on ISO 9000/14000 in various industries. For ICT, his inputs garnered from his expertise have successfully led to development of work-process e-enabling systems in the environments of intranet, portal and interactive web design especially for the construction and manufacturing. Some of the end products have won various competitions of innovativeness, quality, continual-improvements and construction industry award at national level. He has also in advisory capacity – involved in development and moderation of websites, portals and e-profiles for mainly corporate and private sectors, public figures etc. He is also one of the recipients for MOSTE Innovation for RFID use in Electronic Toll Collection in Malaysia.

Note :


TO SEE ALL ARTICLES

ON THE"LABEL" SECTION BELOW (RIGHT SIDE COLUMN), YOU CAN CLICK ON ANY TAG - TO READ ALL ARTICLES ACCORDING TO ITS CATEGORY (E.G. LABEL : CONSTRUCTION) OR GO TO THE VERY END OF THIS BLOG AND CLICK "Older Posts"


 

Tuesday, April 08, 2025

REFRESHER - INVESTMENT IN THE STOCK MARKET - Quick Overview by Nik Zafri



Disclaimer : The information comprised in this section is not, nor is it held out to be, a solicitation of any person to take any form of investment decision. The content of the article does not constitute advice or a recommendation by the author and should not be relied upon in making (or refraining from making) any decision relating to investments or any other matter. You should consult your own independent financial adviser and obtain professional advice before exercising any investment decisions or choices based on information featured in this article. The author can not be held liable or responsible in any way for any opinions, suggestions, recommendations or comments made nor do opinions of contributors necessarily reflect those of the author

Please always remember, stock market has nothing to do with fortune telling

WHICH PLATFORM IS THE BEST TO INVEST?

It’s been a while since I last talked about the stock market, but I’m still in the game, just as an investor, not an expert. I usually rely on my humble decades of experience to guide my decisions. So, here we go.

Whenever I'm asked the question, which platform should a person invest? Actually, I have no preference as there are many platforms that you can invest - it all depends on your goals, risk appetite, and time horizon. Common platforms include:

Stock Market (e.g. Bursa Malaysia, NYSE, NASDAQ): Suitable for medium- to long-term investment and active trading.

Unit Trusts/Mutual Funds: Good for passive investors,

ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds): Offers diversification with lower risk,

Robo-Advisors: Automated, algorithm-driven platforms (e.g. StashAway, Wahed Invest),

REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts): Good for income-focused investors,

Cryptocurrencies (e.g. Bitcoin, Ethereum): Very high risk, suitable only if you understand the volatility.

Real Estate: Tangible asset, but requires large capital and longer holding period.


For this explanation, I'll focus on the stock market.


2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

(example) Let’s take Maybank stock listed on Bursa Malaysia. 

(Note : Please read the above disclaimer before proceeding)

You want to know whether to buy, hold, or sell.

Tool Used: Moving Average Crossover

  • Short-term MA (e.g. 20-day Moving Average)
  • Long-term MA (e.g. 50-day Moving Average)

Scenario :

If the 20-day MA crosses above the 50-day MA ➜ Golden Cross ➜ Buy signal

If it crosses below ➜ Death Cross ➜ Sell signal

Result: On 15 March 2025, you observe that the 20-day MA of Maybank crosses above its 50-day MA. The trading volume also spikes. This may suggest a bullish trend and a potential buy signal.

But, you need to confirm this with other tools like:

RSI (Relative Strength Index) : to check if it's overbought or oversold.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) : to confirm trend strength.

Support/Resistance levels : for better entry/exit.


Here's a more thorough analysis :


Current Stock Information

Last Traded Price: RM10.42​

Day's Range: RM10.16 - RM10.40​

52-Week Range: RM9.52 - RM11.04​

Market Capitalization: RM122.84 billion

PE Ratio: 12.18

Dividend Yield: 5.89%​

​Data as of March 20, 2025.


Technical Indicators:

Moving Averages:

  • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
  • RSI (Relative Strength Index):
  • Support and Resistance Levels:
  • Support: RM10.34​
  • Resistance: RM10.50​

​These levels are based on recent trading activity and volume. ​

Recent Performance:

Maybank's share price reached a record high of RM8.93 on September 18, 2024, before experiencing some profit-taking.

Analyst Outlook:

As of February 27, 2025, Maybank was downgraded to a 'Hold' with a target price raised to RM11.42. 


Conclusion

The technical indicators suggest that Maybank's stock is in a consolidation phase, with key support around RM10.34 and resistance near RM10.50. The MACD indicates bullish momentum, while the RSI suggests the stock is approaching oversold conditions. Investors should monitor these levels and indicators closely, considering both technical signals and fundamental factors before making investment decisions.

3. WHY DATA IS SOOOO IMPORTANT?

Accurate data is the backbone of any investment decision. Here’s why:

  • Historical Price and Volume Data: Needed for technical analysis,
  • Financial Reports: Show the company’s performance, debt level, profit margins, cash flow, etc,
  • Economic Indicators: Inflation rate, interest rates, GDP growth influence market behavior,
  • Sentiment & News: Public perception and events (e.g., CEO changes, legal issues) affect price.

Without reliable data, you’re investing blindly - it’s like driving in the fog without headlights. (I had few unpleasant experience on this one)


4. TRANSPARENCY BY LISTED COMPANIES 

Transparency builds trust and allows investors to make informed decisions.

Besides publishing prospectuses and undergoing audits, companies must:

a. Disclose Material Information

  • Major contracts won/lost
  • Changes in top management
  • Corporate exercises (e.g. bonus issues, share splits)
  • Legal disputes
  • Mergers and acquisitions

b. Provide Forward Guidance

  • Future outlook or business direction
  • Expansion plans

c. Consistent Investor Relations (IR) : 

  • Quarterly briefings
  • Press releases
  • Investor presentations


Finally...Does this all matter? The answer is a big "YES"

  • It will reduces risk of Insider Trading
  • It helps maintain fair valuation
  • It gives investors confidence

A company that hides bad news or delays reporting is a red flag - transparency reduces uncertainty and helps maintain stock stability.

Tuesday, April 01, 2025

WHAT COULD CAUSE GAS PLANT TO EXPLODE - Nik Zafri

The following is just a personal opinion.

1) Possible Causes of Plant Gas Explosions
1.1) Gas Leak and Ignition Source
a) A leak from damaged pipes, flanges, valves, or storage tanks can lead to an explosion if an ignition source (like sparks, static electricity, or open flames) is present,
b) Methane, propane, butane, and hydrogen are highly flammable gases that can cause explosions when mixed with air at the right concentration.
c) Overpressure or Pipe Rupture
Excessive internal pressure due to failure of pressure relief systems can rupture pipes or tanks, leading to explosions.
d) Corrosion and Material Degradation
Rust, stress corrosion cracking, or chemical exposure can weaken pipes over time, making them prone to failure.
e) Extreme Temperatures and Global Warming Effects
High ambient temperatures can increase pressure in gas pipelines,
f) Auto-ignition
Auto Ignition will depend on the temperatures which varies by gas type:
- Methane: ~537°C (999°F)
- Propane: ~470°C (878°F)
- Hydrogen: ~585°C (1,085°F)
If a leak occurs in extremely hot conditions, and there's no ventilation, accumulated gas could reach self-ignition temperatures.
g) Sabotage and Malicious Acts
Deliberate damage (e.g., cutting pipelines, tampering with safety systems, or introducing contaminants) can lead to explosions.
h) Cyberattacks
It has been known that cyberattacks on control systems in modern gas plants may also manipulate pressures, valves, and emergency shutdowns, creating hazardous conditions.
2) Piping Used in Gas Plants
a) Materials
- Carbon Steel & Stainless Steel: Used for durability and pressure resistance.
- HDPE and Composite Pipes: Used in some non-pressurized applications.
b) Coatings and Covering
Pipes are often buried or insulated to protect against weather and temperature variations.
- Corrosion-resistant coatings (e.g., epoxy) are applied.
- Explosion-proof enclosures may be used in hazardous areas.