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BIODATA - NIK ZAFRI


 



NIK ZAFRI BIN ABDUL MAJID,
CONSULTANT/TRAINER
Email: nikzafri@yahoo.com, nikzafri@gmail.com
https://nikzafri.wixsite.com/nikzafri

Kelantanese, Alumni of Sultan Ismail College Kelantan (SICA), IT Competency Cert, Certified Written English Professional US. Has participated in many seminars/conferences (local/ international) in the capacity of trainer/lecturer and participant.

Affiliations :- Network Member of Gerson Lehrman Group, Institute of Quality Malaysia, Auditor ISO 9000 IRCAUK, Auditor OHSMS (SIRIM and STS) /EMS ISO 14000 and Construction Quality Assessment System CONQUAS, CIDB (Now BCA) Singapore),

* Possesses almost 30 years of experience/hands-on in the multi-modern management & technical disciplines (systems & methodologies) such as Knowledge Management (Hi-Impact Management/ICT Solutions), Quality (TQM/ISO), Safety Health Environment, Civil & Building (Construction), Manufacturing, Motivation & Team Building, HR, Marketing/Branding, Business Process Reengineering, Economy/Stock Market, Contracts/Project Management, Finance & Banking, etc. He was employed to international bluechips involving in national/international megaprojects such as Balfour Beatty Construction/Knight Piesold & Partners UK, MMI Insurance Group Australia, Hazama Corporation (Hazamagumi) Japan (with Mitsubishi Corporation, JA Jones US, MMCE and Ho-Hup) and Sunway Construction Berhad (The Sunway Group of Companies). Among major projects undertaken : Pergau Hydro Electric Project, KLCC Petronas Twin Towers, LRT Tunnelling, KLIA, Petronas Refineries Melaka, Putrajaya Government Complex, Sistem Lingkaran Lebuhraya Kajang (SILK), Mex Highway, KLIA1, KLIA2 etc. Once serviced SMPD Management Consultants as Associate Consultant cum Lecturer for Diploma in Management, Institute of Supervisory Management UK/SMPD JV. Currently – Associate/Visiting Consultants/Facilitators, Advisors for leading consulting firms (local and international) including project management. To name a few – Noma SWO Consult, Amiosh Resources, Timur West Consultant Sdn. Bhd., TIJ Consultants Group (Malaysia and Singapore) and many others.

* Ex-Resident Weekly Columnist of Utusan Malaysia (1995-1998) and have produced more than 100 articles related to ISO-9000– Management System and Documentation Models, TQM Strategic Management, Occupational Safety and Health (now OHSAS 18000) and Environmental Management Systems ISO 14000. His write-ups/experience has assisted many students/researchers alike in module developments based on competency or academics and completion of many theses. Once commended by the then Chief Secretary to the Government of Malaysia for his diligence in promoting and training the civil services (government sector) based on “Total Quality Management and Quality Management System ISO-9000 in Malaysian Civil Service – Paradigm Shift Scalar for Assessment System”

Among Nik Zafri’s clients : Adabi Consumer Industries Sdn. Bhd, (MRP II, Accounts/Credit Control) The HQ of Royal Customs and Excise Malaysia (ISO 9000), Veterinary Services Dept. Negeri Sembilan (ISO 9000), The Institution of Engineers Malaysia (Aspects of Project Management – KLCC construction), Corporate HQ of RHB (Peter Drucker's MBO/KRA), NEC Semiconductor - Klang Selangor (Productivity Management), Prime Minister’s Department Malaysia (ISO 9000), State Secretarial Office Negeri Sembilan (ISO 9000), Hidrological Department KL (ISO 9000), Asahi Kluang Johor(System Audit, Management/Supervisory Development), Tunku Mahmood (2) Primary School Kluang Johor (ISO 9000), Consortium PANZANA (HSSE 3rd Party Audit), Lecturer for Information Technology Training Centre (ITTC) – Authorised Training Center (ATC) – University of Technology Malaysia (UTM) Kluang Branch Johor, Kluang General Hospital Johor (Management/Supervision Development, Office Technology/Administration, ISO 9000 & Construction Management), Kahang Timur Secondary School Johor (ISO 9000), Sultan Abdul Jalil Secondary School Kluang Johor (Islamic Motivation and Team Building), Guocera Tiles Industries Kluang Johor (EMS ISO 14000), MNE Construction (M) Sdn. Bhd. Kota Tinggi Johor (ISO 9000 – Construction), UITM Shah Alam Selangor (Knowledge Management/Knowledge Based Economy /TQM), Telesystem Electronics/Digico Cable(ODM/OEM for Astro – ISO 9000), Sungai Long Industries Sdn. Bhd. (Bina Puri Group) - ISO 9000 Construction), Secura Security Printing Sdn. Bhd,(ISO 9000 – Security Printing) ROTOL AMS Bumi Sdn. Bhd & ROTOL Architectural Services Sdn. Bhd. (ROTOL Group) – ISO 9000 –Architecture, Bond M & E (KL) Sdn. Bhd. (ISO 9000 – Construction/M & E), Skyline Telco (M) Sdn. Bhd. (Knowledge Management),Technochase Sdn. Bhd JB (ISO 9000 – Construction), Institut Kefahaman Islam Malaysia (IKIM – ISO 9000 & Internal Audit Refresher), Shinryo/Steamline Consortium (Petronas/OGP Power Co-Generation Plant Melaka – Construction Management and Safety, Health, Environment), Hospital Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (Negotiation Skills), Association for Retired Intelligence Operatives of Malaysia (Cyber Security – Arpa/NSFUsenet, Cobit, Till, ISO/IEC ISMS 27000 for Law/Enforcement/Military), T.Yamaichi Corp. (M) Sdn. Bhd. (EMS ISO 14000) LSB Manufacturing Solutions Sdn. Bhd., (Lean Scoreboard (including a full development of System-Software-Application - MSC Malaysia & Six Sigma) PJZ Marine Services Sdn. Bhd., (Safety Management Systems and Internal Audit based on International Marine Organization Standards) UNITAR/UNTEC (Degree in Accountacy – Career Path/Roadmap) Cobrain Holdings Sdn. Bhd.(Managing Construction Safety & Health), Speaker for International Finance & Management Strategy (Closed Conference), Pembinaan Jaya Zira Sdn. Bhd. (ISO 9001:2008-Internal Audit for Construction Industry & Overview of version 2015), Straits Consulting Engineers Sdn. Bhd. (Full Integrated Management System – ISO 9000, OHSAS 18000 (ISO 45000) and EMS ISO 14000 for Civil/Structural/Geotechnical Consulting), Malaysia Management & Science University (MSU – (Managing Business in an Organization), Innoseven Sdn. Bhd. (KVMRT Line 1 MSPR8 – Awareness and Internal Audit (Construction), ISO 9001:2008 and 2015 overview for the Construction Industry), Kemakmuran Sdn. Bhd. (KVMRT Line 1 - Signages/Wayfinding - Project Quality Plan and Construction Method Statement ), Lembaga Tabung Haji - Flood ERP, WNA Consultants - DID/JPS -Flood Risk Assessment and Management Plan - Prelim, Conceptual Design, Interim and Final Report etc., Tunnel Fire Safety - Fire Risk Assessment Report - Design Fire Scenario), Safety, Health and Environmental Management Plans leading construction/property companies/corporations in Malaysia, Timur West Consultant : Business Methodology and System, Information Security Management Systems (ISMS) ISO/IEC 27001:2013 for Majlis Bandaraya Petaling Jaya ISMS/Audit/Risk/ITP Technical Team, MPDT Capital Berhad - ISO 9001: 2015 - Consultancy, Construction, Project Rehabilitation, Desalination (first one in Malaysia to receive certification on trades such as Reverse Osmosis Seawater Desalination and Project Recovery/Rehabilitation)

* Has appeared for 10 consecutive series in “Good Morning Malaysia RTM TV1’ Corporate Talk Segment discussing on ISO 9000/14000 in various industries. For ICT, his inputs garnered from his expertise have successfully led to development of work-process e-enabling systems in the environments of intranet, portal and interactive web design especially for the construction and manufacturing. Some of the end products have won various competitions of innovativeness, quality, continual-improvements and construction industry award at national level. He has also in advisory capacity – involved in development and moderation of websites, portals and e-profiles for mainly corporate and private sectors, public figures etc. He is also one of the recipients for MOSTE Innovation for RFID use in Electronic Toll Collection in Malaysia.

Note :


TO SEE ALL ARTICLES

ON THE"LABEL" SECTION BELOW (RIGHT SIDE COLUMN), YOU CAN CLICK ON ANY TAG - TO READ ALL ARTICLES ACCORDING TO ITS CATEGORY (E.G. LABEL : CONSTRUCTION) OR GO TO THE VERY END OF THIS BLOG AND CLICK "Older Posts"


 

Monday, December 28, 2015

Malaysia Economic Monitor, December 2015 - Immigrant Labour







Key Findings 

The Malaysian economy continues to expand, albeit at a slower pace.
  • Growth is projected to be 4.7% in 2015, easing to 4.5% in 2016 and 2017.
  • Private consumption growth is expected to moderate from 7.0% in 2014 to 5.3% in 2015 and 2016, affected by the slowdown in disposable income and a softer labour market, though unemployment remains low.
  • Fixed investment is projected to continue expanding, driven by strong public infrastructure development, despite a downturn in the oil and gas sector
  • The current account surplus is projected to narrow from 4.3% of GDP in 2014 to 2.5% of GDP in 2015, driven by low commodity prices.
  • Malaysia has managed the downturn in commodity prices and the financial market volatility with an appropriate policy mix, notably exchange rate flexibility. 
  • The authorities have allowed the Ringgit to nominally depreciate by 20.5% from January 2015 until December 8, 2015.
  • The introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) and the removal of fuel subsidies were timely and critical reforms implemented by the government. Fuel subsidy removals have led to fiscal savings of 0.9% of GDP, while GST collection is expected to amount to 2.3% of GDP in 2015.
  • These measures partly compensated for lower oil related revenues that are projected to decline from 6% of GDP in 2014 (30% of total revenue) to 3.8% of GDP (19.7% of overall revenues) in 2015.
  • Fiscal consolidation and resolving political issues can help reassure foreign investors and cope with heightened external vulnerability.




Immigrant labour plays a crucial role in Malaysia’s development. Immigrants – both high- and low-skilled – will be needed for the country to achieve high income status by 2020.

  • Malaysia has the fourth largest number of migrants and the seventh highest ratio of migrants to total population in East Asia Pacific.
  • There are 2.1 million registered immigrants in Malaysia and likely over 1 million undocumented immigrants, making up 15% of Malaysia’s workforce in 2014.
  • As Malaysians have become more educated and seek out higher-skilled jobs, and as the labour market remains tight, immigrant labour has filled gaps in low- and mid-skilled jobs, which make up three quarters of all jobs in Malaysia.
  • Econometric modeling suggests that a 10% net increase in low-skilled foreign workers may increase Malaysia’s GDP by as much as 1.1%.
  • For every 10 new immigrant workers in a given state and sector, up to five new jobs may be created for Malaysians in that state and sector, two of them female.  
  • Economic modelling suggests that a 10 percent net increase in low-skilled foreign workers may increase real GDP by up to 1.1 percent. 
  • A 10% increase in immigration flow slightly increases the wages of Malaysians by 0.14%. Yet it significantly reduces salaries of immigrant workers already in the country by 3.94%.  A 10% increase in immigration flow reduces wages of the least-educated Malaysians, which represent 14% of the total labour force, by 0.74%.
  • The fiscal burden is mainly borne by undocumented immigrants. Documented immigrants in Malaysia raise employment and wages of Malaysians which in turn contributes to public revenues. Also, levies pay for work permits of documented immigrant workers raising 1.2% of total revenues in 2014, they have to have health insurance which reduces the burden on the government.




Recommendations: Six possible directions for reform for Malaysia to strengthen its immigration system.

  • Aligning the institutional and legislative framework with the human resource development strategy;
  • Establishing an evidence-based system for identifying labour market shortages that immigrant labour can fill;
  • Adopting a live-levy system that responds to labour market needs identified in the evidence-based system;
  • Using a broader set of criteria to categorize immigrants (i.e. skills, experience) and defining approaches for their recruitment, employment, and repatriation;
  • Strengthening monitoring and enforcement of immigration and labour regulations; and
  • Investing in upskilling the unskilled workforce, and promoting productivity-enhancing technology.

(Full report : Please e-mail nikzafri@yahoo.com) 

Saturday, December 19, 2015

STAR WARS - THE FORCE AWAKENS




So, I've seen the most awaited and much anticipated - "Star Wars The Force Awakens"
I'm impressed; after all these years; the 'feel' of the original "Star Wars" has been remarkably portrayed. It has succeeded to remind my generation of the 1976 - 77 badge of the good old days when it first appeared on the big screen. The special-effects, CGIs etc. are spectacular!!
Kylo Ren is definitely going to be the new Sith warrior - possibly better than Darth Vader. Am sure by now the Siths have learnt their lessons not to underestimate the Jedis.
(I kinda like Ren's real name : Ben - somehow the name must have been taken in honour of Ben Kenobi - Obiwan)
The Sith have even improvised the Storm Trooper with some sort of electrical sword to fight with the traditional light-saber held by Finn in one scene.
Even the Supreme Leader Snoke is cautious enough to complete Ren's training only after proving himself with the brutal murder of his own father (Han Solo RIP) to nurture the strong feeling of the dark side. And you have the new more confident General who can speak face to face with Kylo Ren and criticize him without fear in the presence of the Supreme Leader)
(Snoke is possibly from the bloodline of Asajj Ventress (Assaj like Snoke are "very bad news" - even worse than Chancellor Palpatine a.k.a. the Emperor. Maz Kanata on the other hand is related to Yoda) And Rey is obviously Luke's daughter! (Well, R2D2 did "light up" in Rey's presence and not Luke)
(You can figure this all out if you are really a pure Star Wars fan - reading all the Star Wars books (to see the "crossovers", "side stories etc), playing all the Star Wars computer games and watching all the animated versions of Star Wars) and most important, the name KATHLEEN KENNEDY - you should be aware of NOT George Lucas)
But I will not be surprised at all if Rey turned out to be Solo-Organa's bloodline or lost bloodline of Kenobis even. (you all know that it is prohibited for a Jedi to be married)
But for now I'm sticking to Luke being Rey's father ("Luke has much of his father in him" - to Quote : Aunt Beru and Uncle Owen - so like his father Anakin, Luke crossed the line by secretly getting married but found out that his wife is either another Sith or probably being murdered by some Sith Lord - and Luke took Rey to safety on Jakuul - just like Obiwan did to him on Tatooine)
Ok, that being said, now for the dissapointments!!
1) The story has too much plot of Episode 4 (A New Hope) and Episode 6 (Return of the Jedi) - you know "the rebellion", "death star" (even the new version is like 100X bigger "LOL")..
I am unsure why JJ Abrams put the new story in that manner. As a fan of Star Trek as well (Trekkie): at least "Star Trek" and "Star Trek : Into the Darkness" have made courageous "BIG CHANGES"
2) The idea having cameo appearance of Luke Skywalker to only be seen at the last scene has caused much dissapointment to the Star Wars 1st generation.
3) Too much surprises spoil the plot.
4) A bit of "Harry Potter" approach - using light saber instead of a wand.
5) I sincerely hope that it's not like:
"No...you're seeing Episode 10 actually, not Episode 7 ("JJ Abram's twist")... - just like the "Lucas" twist showing Episodes 4, 5 and 6 first - then 1, 2, 3.
The good things about Star Wars The Force Awakens :
a) it has triggered the fans "to be forced" to watch the story till the end (with no proper conclusion)
b) it is a totally new story of Star Wars for the new generation
c) an introduction to new warriors and faces of the new age - Ren, Rey, Poe and Finn (my guess is Finn and Poe - could be potential new Jedis) - the Fans are saying that Finn is related to Lando Calrissian! And we have this new cute BB8 as a new ally to R2D2 and C3PO.
d) I will definitely wait for next movie scheduled for 2017

Whatever it is, I'm glad that I am still a Star Wars fan!
(Nik Zafri)

Wednesday, December 02, 2015

PSIKOLOGI DAGANGAN FOREX

Artikel berikut merujuk kepada beberapa buah artikel lain – telah ditulis dan disesuaikan semula bagi kemudahan rujukan.

Agak lama juga saya tidak menulis mengenai sentimen pasaran dan faktor psikologi yang mempengaruhinya. Kali ini saya akan menuliskan mengenai isu psikologi dalam dagangan FOREX.


Walaupun FOREX melibatkan banyak angka, kebarangkalian dan carta, Forex; bagi saya; adalah lebih kepada “seni daripada sains”. Anda hanya perlu bermodalkan bakat dan keyakinan diri untuk memulakan langkah. Pedagang Forex yang baik biasanya menyalurkan kemahiran menerusi latihan berterusan dan disiplin yang tinggi. Mereka melakukan analisa sendiri bagi mengenalpasti apakah yang sebenarnya menguatkan dagangan mereka, bagaimana untuk mengendalikan rasa takut dan memadamkan rasa ‘tamak’ kerana psikologi perdagangan FOREX sebenarnya tidaklah terlalu bergantung kepada sentimen seperti pasaran saham.


A. SASARAN DAN TEKNIK

a. Anda perlu ada sasaran. Pilihlah satu kaedah (teknik) yang sesuai dengan sasaran kita. Pastikan kita selesa dan biasa dengan teknik berkenaan dan tidak terlalu terpengaruh dengan cara orang lain.

Sebelum memulakan perjalanan, adalah penting kita mengetahui destinasi dan cara untuk sampai ke sana. Dengan kata lain, kita memerlukan :

a. sasaran yang boleh diukur dan apa yang sebenarnya yang ingin dicapai,

b. kita sudah pun mempunyai kaedah (teknik) dagangan.

Jadi sasaran itu penting sebenarnya bagi anda. Tuliskan di atas sehelai kertas jika perlu. Teknik yang anda pilih sangat penting kerana setiap teknik mempunyai pendekatan dan risiko yang berbeza serta sikap yang betul dalam berdagang.

Contohnya kita ingin memantau dagangan kita dalam kedudukan terbuka (open position) dalam pasaran (contohnya teknik ‘scalping’), maka, kita perlu berdagang mengikut kekangan masa dan sasaran (contohnya jumlah pip yang tetap) yang kita sendiri tetapkan samada beberapa jam sehingga maksimanya 24 jam (hari) (daily trade)

Jika kita mempunyai modal yang besar dan dapat bersabar walaupun tempoh dagangan sehingga 2-3 bulan demi keuntungan yang lebih besar, maka anda perlu menjadi seorang ‘position trader’.

Kesimpulannya, jika anda menggunakan teknik yang silap serta tidak sesuai dengan perwatakan anda, maka kerugian akan menyebabkan tekanan psikologi yang tinggi.

Forex akan menjadi satu bentuk perjudian kerana anda tidak dapat menerima ‘kekalahan’ – lalu anda terus melaburkan lebih banyak wang dengan harapan untuk mendapat pulangan yang tinggi. Ini sebenarnya BUKAN ciri-ciri pelaburan tetapi ianya lebih kepada ‘pertaruhan’.

Jika anda bersikap sebegini, maka lebih baik anda jangan berkecimpung dalam arena FOREX kerana jelas anda tidak faham bahawa perdagangan Forex sebenarnya berkonsepkan “perniagaan” dan tentunya sesuatu perniagaan itu tertakluk kepada dua kata kunci utama – UNTUNG dan RUGI.

Bagi pedagang FOREX yang berpengalaman, “Rugi” itu sebenarnya bukanlah “rugi yang tidak patut berlaku”, tetapi ianya satu bentuk pelaburan untuk anda lebih matang. Yang penting setelah anda faham mengenai “rugi”, maka apa yang penting bagi anda ialah memikirkan pula untuk membuat “untung”. Keseimbangan psikologi seperti inilah yang diperlukan bagi mengendalikan perasaan anda yang tidak menentu terutamanya mereka yang baru ingin mula berkecimpung di bidang ini.
B. MEMILIH BROKER

Cari seorang broker atau seorang pedagang Forex yang mempunyai cukup pengalaman untuk memberikan bimbingan kepada anda. Biasanya seorang pedagang Forex yang baik akan mencadangkan tapak dagangan yang sesuai dengan pola perdagangan anda.

Adalah satu faktor yang penting bagi memilih broker yang menawarkan tapak dagangan yang membuka ruang untuk anda membuat analisa yang diperlukan.

Cara memilih broker yang betul ialah membuat satu kajian dan perbandingan di antara satu broker dengan satu broker yang lain. Anda juga perlu mengetahui dasar yang ditetapkan oleh broker dan bagaimana dia memasuki pasaran.

Contohnya pasaran dagangan (diniagakan) di atas kaunter atau pasaran spot sangat berbeza dengan pasaran yang dipandu oleh pertukaran (matawang)

Jika anda ingin menggunakan teknik penomboran Fibonacci (rambang dan tidak mengikut turutan), pastikan tapak dagangan yang disyorkan oleh broker dapat memaparkan garisan Fibonacci.

Senario :

1) Seorang broker yang cekap tetapi menggunakan tapak dagangan yang tidak sesuai atau

2) seorang broker yang tidak cekap tetapi menggunakan tapak dagangan yang baik akan menimbulkan masalah.

Pastikan anda mendapatkan broker yang cekap dengan tapak dagangan yang sesuai.

C. KAEDAH

Sebelum memasuki pasaran, anda perlu tahu perkara-perkara asas dalam dagangan terutamanya teknik mana yang anda ingin gunakan. Anda perlu mendapat maklumat yang mencukupi bagi menentukan bila untuk ‘masuk’ dan bila untuk ‘keluar’.

a) Cara fundamental : Ada yang memilih untuk melihat suasana ekonomi semasa kemudian menggunakan carta bagi menentukan masa yang paling sesuai untuk berdagang

b) Ada pula yang memilih analisa teknikal dan menggunakan carta bagi menentukan sendiri jangkamasa yang sesuai untuk berdagang. (contohnya 5-6 jam atau sehari atau seminggu atau bila untuk keluar (entry) dan bila untuk masuk (exit)

Yang pastinya cara fundamental (a) memandu trend jangkapanjang manakala corak carta (pattern) (b) biasanya digunakan untuk tempohjangkapendek.

Apapun kaedah yang anda pilih, ingatlah yang penting ialah anda perlu konsisten dengan teknik berkenaan di samping tetap bersedia untuk fleksibel mengikut suasana pasaran. Dengan kata lain, sentiasa mengambilkira kepekaan mengenai perubahan dinamik pasaran.

D. FREM MASA PANJANG (ANALISA BERARAH) DAN FREM MASA SINGKAT (PENENTUAN TITIK 'KELUAR' DAN 'MASUK')

Ramai pedagang yang keliru kerana terdapat konflik maklumat semasa memantau carta dalam frem masa yang berbeza. Apa yang dilihat sebagai peluang pembelian mungkin sebenarnya ialah isyarat untuk menjual pada carta intraday.

Jadi, anda perlu memastikan bahawa carta mingguan dan merujuksilang kepada carta harian sehingga ianya memaparkan isyarat yang sama samada ‘beli’ atau ‘jual’.

5. PENGIRAAN JANGKAN (MENGIKUT SASARAN) 

Jangkaan (Expectancy) merupakan satu formula yang boleh digunakan untuk memastikan keberkesanan sistem yang digunakan.

Cuba semak kembali sejarah dagangan anda yang lepas dengan membandingkan ‘kemenangan’ dan ‘kekalahan’. Kemudian buat pengiraan ke atas dagangan yang berjaya dan bandingkan berapa banyak kerugian dagangan yang anda telah alami.

Lihat 10 dagangan akhir. Sekiranya anda masih belum berdagang, lihat carta di mana sistem yang anda gunakan menunjukkan indicator samada anda perlu ‘keluar’ atau ‘masuk’. Pastikan anda dapat membuat jangkaan terhadap untung dan rugi dagangan. Tuliskan hasil ini di atas kertas. Jumlahkan kadar ‘kemenangan’ anda menggunakan formula berikut.

J= [1+ (M/K)] x P – 1
di mana :

J        =        Jangkaan
M      =        Purata Dagangan yang Menang (Win)
K       =        Purata Dagangan yang Kalah (Loose)
P       =        Peratusan Nisbah Kemenangan

Contohnya : Jika anda telah lakukan 10 dagangan dan enam daripadanya adalah dagangan yang menang manakala bakinya (4) adalah yang kalah, maka nisbahnya ialah 6/10 atau 60%. Jika 6 dagangan = USD2,400.00, maka purata kemenangan ialah USD2400/6 = USD400.00.

Jika kekalahan anda berjumlah USD1,200.00, maka kerugian purata anda ialah USD1,200/4 = USD300.

Gunakan keputusan formula ini dan hasilnya ialah :

J = [1+ (400/300)] x 0.6 - 1 = 0.40 atau 40%.

40% jangkaan bermakna sistem yang anda gunakan akan memberikan pulangan 40 sen setiap dollar dalam tempoh jangkamasa yang panjang.

 6. TUMPUKAN PADA DAGANGAN DAN BELAJAR MENERIMA KERUGIAN YANG KECIL

Setelah membiayai akaun anda, perkara yang paling penting ialah untuk memahami bahawa modal anda sedang berada dalam risiko apatah lagi jika wang yang anda laburkan itu sebenarnya adalah duit untuk membayar bil utiliti atau belanja harian atau bulanan atau simpanan anda.

Mungkin idea saya agak janggal untuk anda. Tetapi cuba beranggapan bahawa modal pelaburan anda adalah belanja untuk bercuti. Maka setiap kali percutian itu tamat, maka belanja untuk cuti juga telah habis.

Berdasarkan anggapan ini, dengan sendirinya anda telah bersedia untuk menerima kerugian yang kecil dan ini merupakan kunci dalam menguruskan risiko anda. Dengan memberikan tumpuan kepada dagangan anda, maka anda telah bersedia untuk menerima kerugian yang kecil daripada sentiasa mengira jumlah ekuiti anda. Anda pasti akan berjaya!

Pastikan anda melakukan leverage ke atas dagangan anda ke risiko maksimanya hanyalah dua (2) peratus dari pembiayaan anda. Katakanlah anda mempunyai USD10,000 dalam akaun dagangan anda, jangan sampai anda kerugian lebih daripada 2% daripada nilai akaun.

Sekiranya anda dapati ‘stop’ (pemberhentian) anda melencong jauh daripada 2%, gunakan dagangan dalam frem masa yang singkat atau kurangkanleverage  anda.

7. MEMBINA SUASANA POSITIF

Kitaran maklumbalas yang positif dihasilkan menerusi dagangan yang seimbang dengan perancangan anda. Jika anda merancang untuk berdagang dan anda berjaya, maka akan tercipta satu corak maklumbalas yang positif.  Apatah lagi jika sesuatu kejayaan diikuti dengan lebih kejayaan sekaligus menghasilkan rasa keyakinan – terutamanya apabila dagangan anda menguntungkan. Walaupun anda mengalami kerugian yang kecil, kekalkan kitaran maklumbalas yang positif.

8. Melakukan Analisa Pada Hujung Minggu

Adalah satu sikap yang baik untuk bersedia lebih awal. Pada hujung minggu bila pasaran ditutup, cuba luangkan masa untuk meneliti carta mingguan bagi melihat corak atau berita yang memberikan kesan kepada dagangan anda. Mungkin corak menunjukkan double top dan pelabur-pelabur lain termasuk berita yang anda terima menunjukkan market reversal.

Kemungkinan ini juga satu muslihat untuk memikat anda ke dalam pasaran supaya mereka dapat menjual posisi mereka dalam keadaan tambahan kecairan. Maka kita kena membuat strategi yang sesuai dengan suasana seperti ini. Jadi, jika anda mengesyaki perkara ini berlaku, maka lebihkan masa untuk melihat berita dan fakta daripada mendengar khabar atau spekulasi dari pelabur-pelabur lain.

Seandainya pasaran tidak menunjukkan sebarang titik masuk, maka anda perlu rileks dan menanti peluang sehingga masanya sesuai. Jika anda terlepas sesuatu dagangan, tentunya ada peluang untuk memasukinya kemudian. Maka pentingnya anda bersabar dan mempunyai disiplin yang tinggi untuk menjadi seorang pedagang yang baik.

9. SIMPAN LOG DAGANGAN ANDA

Cetak rekod dagangan anda kerana anda boleh belajar sesuatu dari sejarah dagangan (terutamanya yang menang). Semak kembali dan tuliskan sebab-sebab untuk berdagang termasuk mana-mana elemen fundamental yang mempengaruhi keputusan anda.

Tandakan carta berkenaan dengan titik masuk dan keluar. Catatkan sebarang komen di atas carta berkenaan.

Failkan rekod ini supaya anda dapat melihatnya pada bila-bila masa yang anda suka. Tanyakan diri anda semasa melihat rekod-rekod ini – adakah anda panik? Adakah anda tamak? Adakah anda terlalu berjaga-jaga? Tuliskan apa yang anda rasakan. Hanya dengan menentukan objektif dagangan anda, barulah anda akan belajar kawalan perasaan dan disiplin mengikut sistem yang anda telah tetapkan daripada bergantung kepada tabiat.

Ini adalah antara cara-cara untuk berdagang secara berstruktur dan hasilnya, anda akan lebih matang dalam perdagangan.

Perdagangan adalah suatu cabang kesenian – dan terdapat hanya satu cara sahaja untuk menjadi matang dalam dagangan – iaitu peningkatan dalam kecekapan menerusi amalan yang konsisten dan disiplin yang tinggi.

Lebih banyak latihan serta pengalaman yang dilakukan, maka lebih matanglah dagangan anda.

Saturday, October 24, 2015

THE NEW ISO 9001:2015 - NIK ZAFRI

WHAT TO EXPECT IN THE NEW ISO 9001:2015 (PART 1)

Disclaimer : Most of the contents here are not the 'actual/literal' text of the actual new ISO 9001:2015. It's the personal interpretation of the author.

0.1 – QMS as a strategic decision, a robust Quality Management Systems (QMS) – to help organization to improve its overall performance and forms an integral component of sustainable development. Design and implementation of QMS is influenced by the context of organization and   (including) the changes.

Definition

a. Strategic– Identification of long term/overall aims and interest and means to achieve them (taking into account coping up with fundamental changes – susceptible to the surroundings (what is happening around you) – law, competition, regulations, standards, trends, new technology, innovation, Research and Development etc.)

b. Robust– a process, system able to withstand or overcome adverse conditions (defects, non-conformance, corrective action request)

c. Improve overall performance – integral component of sustainable development– no system is perfect, it should be improved and become part and parcel of company's culture to achieving excellence.

d. Designed and Implemented by the sort of industry-specific – service/product provided by the company (to achieve such purpose – goals and objectives) – customization/tailor-made (1)

The rest of the content in 0.1 also talks about culture (already covered), external factors – socio-economic conditions under which it operates) – when we talk about socio-economic conditions – it talks about how the process - impacts the general public, public perception, surroundings  – possibly employment opportunity and most important – the organization must realize its financial capacity –not to do something way beyond their ability. Do something that suits the organization ONLY  (2)

Also touched on QMS can differ from one organization to another(See (1) - customization)

0.2 – not much have been changed except more emphasis is given in point no. 2 – ISO 9001 – improved internal communication, better understanding and control of process – reduction in defects and waste 

(the only way to do all these is to adopt principle of “no walls, no politics, no overlapping of duties, no pinpointing, no blaming culture” - so 100 points go to"Improved Internal Communication"  - everything starts here....

and also point no. 4 of 0.2 – ISO 9004 which touches on configuration management; apart from other elements – quality plan, project QM, measurement process/equipment, documentation, (and again - ) financial/economic benefits of the system (See (2), Statistics etc.

Definition

Configuration Management - system engineering process for establishing and maintaining consistency of a product's (or services) performance, functional and physical attributes with its requirements, design and operational information throughout its life.

0.3– comprehensive process-approach explained in better details. What's interesting are the words “understood” and “understanding” are being used. It means that the system HAS to be understood – on company-wide basis.

There is no point making a system only to be understood by a certain 'exclusive top management level'.

How to make everyone understand?

Mind you, I'm not talking about the typical 
(word by word) memorizing the policy or objectives – remember UNDERSTAND is totally different than MEMORIZE....

a laymen understanding – is to understand QMS in their OWN work! (refer Job Description and Responsibilities/Authorities) – if these are not clear, DON'T HOPE everyone to understand – you will receive typical provoking comments from them just like when the previous system was implemented - “This is not my job?” “Having ISO is like having NOTHING – no impact – nothing for me” - hence - they don't feel the system!

0.4 including Figure 1 and 2 talk about 'Plan-Do-Check-Act” in much more simple understanding but implementable.


0.5 Something new – Risk-Based Thinking (in fact it's partial risk management) – which I agree 100%.

Definition

Simply look back at your Management Review Meeting, Data Analysis and Continual Improvement Plan (if you have any - if you don't, then 'BIG TROUBLE') – now PROACTIVELY start identifying, assess and prioritize the risks (the effect of "uncertainty") – how do you that? 

Yes, look back at frequent problems in your data? 

And prioritize - put them according to order, mark them with RED, YELLOW or GREEN and discuss the solution further. You can also integrate ITP, HIRARC, SHASSIC, CONQUAS or whatever specific assessment/inspection system you have (if you have one - if you don't, then go for the normal inspection that you do - incoming, in-process and outgoing) etc. into it. 

No overlapping please...let all the system be harmonized and co-exist.

Now, should you have a full (projected) Risk Management Plan before starting the operation? (Preliminary, Design, Interim and Final) – if you have the time – the answer is YES!


Project Management - Critical Path Method - justify the RED ones by thinking outside the box (outside the software) - there must be alternative ways of justifying it. Yes, I have the great CPM and the 'technical S Curve'  but why is there still delay?

Just match it with your MRM Data...you'll be on the right track.

0.6– compatibility with other management systems – explained in greater details.

VERDICT?

Yes, the new ISO 9001:2015 is attempting to cover and solve ALL kinds of management and technical problems (sound kind of ambitious - don't you think?) – however, lots of cross-referencing need to be made. Act smart for a while...please

(wait for Part 2)

Friday, October 16, 2015

PELAN PERNIAGAAN (PITCHING) UNTUK GERAN, MODAL TEROKA DLL.

Mempunyai pelan perniagaan yang baik adalah faktor penentu yang membezakan antara permulaan yang berjaya atau permulaan yang gagal. Kadangkala laporan prestasi perniagaan yang dibentangkan terlalu tebal – tanpa memikirkan psikologi pelabur yang kadangkala tidak mempunyai masa untuk membaca laporan berkenaan. (Tidak kira apakah jenis instrumen yang ingin anda pohon - modal teroka, geran, seed capitalangel funds dll)

Photo Source : http://www.marsdd.com


Memahami kehendak pelabur amat penting kerana mereka adalah pembiaya kepada perniagaan anda. Antara perkara yang perlu diketengahkan ialah beberapa unsur yang penting sahaja yang sering menjadi perhatian kepada pendengar terhadap sesuatu pelan perniagaan.

Pastikan pembentang tahu apa kehendak industri yang diceburi dan mempunyai pandangan yang munasabah terhadap masa depan perniagaan yang ingin diketengahkan. Ini termasuklah strategi pemasaran dan pulangan kewangan.

Pertama, kenali dahulu skop perkhidmatan/produk ICT yang dibekalkan serta persaingannya. Ini adalah antara perkara yang paling penting. Contohnya isu yang boleh disentuh ialah :
  1. berapa besarkah industri ICT berkenaan,
  2. siapakah di antara pesaing yang kuat,
  3. kecepatan pertumbuhan industri ICT berkenaan,
  4. adakah industri ICT berkenaan merupakan perintis (yang unik atau pertama) atau hanya salah satu industri yang telah ramai berkecimpung di dalamnya,
  5. Bahagian pasaran manakah yang dapat menarik perhatian ramai,
Pelabur/Pembiaya biasanya ingin mendengar mengenai pasaran yang tumbuh dengan cepat dengan persaingan yang minima (contohnya segmen pasaran berkadar 20-30%)  Jika persembahan itu hanya mengenai sesuatu perisian – contohnya perisian pemprosesan perkataan (word-processing)‘kononnya’ bagi menggantikan MS-Word, maka persembahan berkenaan sudah pasti akan mencapai jalan yang buntu. Walaupun perisian berkenaan mendapat hakcipta sekalipun (ini juga kadangkala memerlukan kos yang tinggi) tetapi untuk bersaing dalam pasaran yang sering jauh lebih inovatif dan menyediakan pelbagai kelebihan, cadangan perniagaan berkenaan pasti akan mendapat sambutan yang hambar dari bakal pelabur.

Kedua, Model Pulangan dan Perniagaan –Pelabur sangat gemar kepada aliran hasil/keuntungan yang besar dan berulang-ulang serta meninggalkan kesan nilai tambah kepada pelanggan. Perkara yang perlu ditanya antara lain :
  1. apakah jenis perniagaan baru yang bakal dibina dan prospeknya? 
1.1 Perkakasan komputer (contohnya) - Perisian yang boleh dipasang (install) atau dimuatturun? - Sistem yang berinteraksi secara talian sahaja?

Ketiga, Bagaimana cara pembayaran?
  1. Adakah dengan sekali pembelian dan menanti pesanan baru?
  2. Hasil bulanan yang berulang-ulang?
  3. Penggunaan yang perlu dalam kuantiti yang banyak?
  4. Harga berbanding dengan pesaing?
  5. Apakah kelebihan unik yang ingin dipaparkan dalam pasaran atau hanya menggunakan cara yang umum digunakan oleh pengusaha lain?
Keempat, Pelan Pemasaran dan Jualan. Antara perkara-perkara yang perlu diperhatikan ialah strategi :
  1. adakah ianya melibatkan jaringan B2C (perniagaan ke pengguna) atau B2B (perniagaan ke perniagaan)?
  2. Adakah ianya memerlukan pasukan jualan yang besar?
  3. Adakah pemasaran ke pengguna memerlukan pelaburan yang tinggi?
  4. Adakah pemasaran menggunakan enjin carian di talian, e-mel atau melibatkan diri dalam pameran perniagaan?
  5. Adakah perniagaan itu memerlukan media sosial seperti laman web (3D? html? Multimedia?) termasuk elemen video atau lain-lain audio visual dsb)
  6. Bagaimanakah keupayaan bahan-bahan promosi di talian untuk menjadi ‘viral’
Biasanya konsep jualan secara ‘perniagaan ke perniagaan’ adalah lebih murah untuk dilancarkan berbanding dengan konsep pemasaran ‘perniagaan ke pengguna’. Namun B2B biasanya sukar mendapat perhatian pelabur kerana ianya mempunyai kitaran jualan yang lebih lama (dan banyak modal diperlukan). Namun ini tidak bermakna B2B tidak mampu bertahan, cuma ianya memerlukan modal terutamanya di pihak pembentang pelan perniagaan. (perniagaan yang telah berjaya tetapi memerlukan modal yang lebih untuk membesarkan lagi perniagaan berkenaan)

Tetapi ‘perniagaan ke pengguna’ jika diatur strategi yang betul, maka jualan di talian berpotensi untuk mendapatkan keuntungan yang besar. Jika ianya berjaya dalam tempoh beberapa tahun (dari segi keuntungan dan penjenamaan) mungkin periklanan dan promosi dapat dikembangkan lagi ke radio, television mahupun bahan bercetak.

Apapun, pastikan pelaburan ke atas pemasaran dan jualan adalah munasabah bagi mencapai skel pulangan yang disasarkan. Paling penting, anda dapat ‘membaca fikiran’ pelabur mengenai apa yang sebenarnya mereka mahu dari anda.

Akhir sekali - yang keempat - Pasukan Pengurusan

Ini juga penting – siapakah ahli-ahli atau kakitangan-kakitangan yang akan menguruskan perniagaan berkenaan. Yang penting adalah pengalaman mereka dan bukti bahawa mereka mahir mengurus dan mentadbir perniagaan mahupun teknikal yang dicadangkan. Perkara ini kadangkala dipandang remeh oleh pembentang kerana terlalu ingin berjimat kos daripada memikirkan pelaburan di atas pekerja atau kakitangan yang kompetan.

Tuesday, October 06, 2015

WHAT KIND OF WORLD WE'RE LIVING IN? (NIK ZAFRI)

Originally written on 8 May 2010 at 22:07



We are now living in the world full of uncertainty. With the fast pace of globalization, we too are trapped within the dimension of the unknown and unprecedented.

The word 'Power' now is in the game.

Power has always been linked to two things and two things only - good and evil - mostly evil for those who choose to abuse it. Innocent human beings; without realizing what is happening; continue to live in oblivion (mind you...not the video-game) because of the continuous misappropriation of power occurring everywhere around the globe. (I wonder if the Illuminati mind control using 'invisible technology' is true after all)

The chain effect becomes faster and greater when you; readers; and I; writer says that :

"Aaaah..that's life, so what? Just shut-up and move along - as long as we don't disturb one another, we'll be fine".

Ironically this is still too far from the truth and the reality. Look around you!!

Whenever we say these words, we tend to be lead astray with such rethorical and nonsensical philosophy. When?

When our own planet being colonized, our resources, our lands, our houses, our money etc by unscrupulous illogical human beings who thinks that possessing such 'Power' and 'Influence' will be eternal. And what do they say to you?

"This is Progress...this is Development.... Learn to live with it" and by a blink of an eye,your backyard becomes a development project. If you're lucky enough, you will be given some money and you're gone - shifting from one place to another.

Behind you, the actual words would be :

"You're backwards, you're uneducated, you're dumb, you're anti-progress etc"

My replies would be :

Yes, I'm 'anti-progress' because I'm against people who cut down shady trees or destroy greeneries (for no obvious good reason)

Yes, I'm 'uneducated' because I say : "wow...is this global warming..so burning hot!!
....while walking from my house to the stall just 700m away (been doing this for the last 9 years - for health purposes) - perspiring heavily and rapidly dehydrated - not even a single car wish to stop and give a ride - such jerks!! (those days it was not this HOT)

And Yes, I'm 'dumb' for not following the current destructive trends

Am I the only one who's reacting unexpectedly to the climate changes?

Does climate-shift has something to do with my erratic behaviours?

As I see the progress in the human chronicles - I see :

a) wireless technology evolutionizing itself - WAP, Bluetooth, 3G, 4G etc, PAN, Wi-Fi, Wi-Max, Broadband, X-Max etc.

But I also see some human beings using 'sophisticated gadgets' are smiling ironically when they see others using a normal conventional mobile phone and in their hearts "Man..you're no where to me"

b) people working and walking in KL, New York, London and other big cities – not having much time to talk to one another - perhaps they are too busy.

But I also see people who are working/walking rarely care for others - say...when they witness accidents happening right in front of their eyes or pickpockets forcibly steal other people's property or hearing arguments which may end or proven fatal,

And I also witnessed people who are too busy rarely looking at elements of poverty amidst the city hustles. They don't care as long as they are OK with money - pay their taxes, zakats/fitrahs etc. then there is no time to have mercy on others.

Ultimately, I now see elements of the dark sides forming - betrayals, ruined marriages, self-centred attitudes, ruined families, liars, swindlers, cheaters, robbers, thieves, gangsters, racists, extremists etc.

So, this is what we have become – more complex under the pretext of “the new way of life” ? or "This is trendy"??

Well..to add up - we see diabetes, hypertension, cardiac arrests, aches here and there etc.

1) So, what modern economics say about equal distribution of wealth are simply lip service?

2) People are telling me about renewable energies – has it been equally distributed?

3) Sustainable Development - is there such a word?

4) How about politics nowadays? Where is it heading?

5) I wonder; in the near future; will I still see tranquility in flora and fauna, beautiful sandy beaches, orchards etc.

6) Will the earth be healed of so much wounds caused by homosapiens?

7) Why are the teenagers today have their own styles, their own terminologies etc.?

8) Will I be left behind and be accused of 'lack of progress' or 'not following the current trend?'

9) Where did innocent little children learn how to swear, curse etc. (wanna prove me wrong? wanna bet? Just visit any cybercafe and look at the kids (as young as 7 years old - I wonder where are their parents?) who are playing games..what do they say when they loose?)

10) Some people fantasizing and delusioning that "he/she is the MOST popular person in the world" or "he/she is the SAVIOR", "he/she is the fairest, most handsome of all", "he/she is the richest of all", "he/she is the most glamorous of all"...gosh.... :-)

11) People who claim that they're so educated and advanced thinking YET fall for online scams, get rich quick scheme, money laundering, pyramid scheme, urban-legends etc. Worse...some bogus doctors, shamans, bomohs/dukuns etc.

12) People who are not thankful for what or who they are - naturally. One who sees, ignores, hates and overlooks the local culture and tried to blend with 'other people's culture' and dare to claim that this 'new culture' are theirs since they were born...this is the BIGGEST JERK OF ALL!

What would be the solutions? Have you got the answer?